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Stu
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Re: A nice blog on collecting Tolkien books
Just can't stay away
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Trotter wrote:


At that rate HarperCollins would sell out of copies in 4 years time, or they may remainder them..


As I explain in the blog, I based the sales figures on what has gone in the last six months- someone (possibly on this forum) posted that they had bought number 260 in Jan this year, so the sales figures of around 200 a year at the moment (outside of the early rush from collectors) seems right to me. Obviously it is all guess work, but somewhere around there seems right.

Out of interest Trotter, what do you guess will be the value of the book when Harper Collins has sold out? If this does happen in a year or so, surely the value will go up a little then? Obviously I am new to all this and know you are very knowledgable, so I am keen to know your thoughts.

If value is linked to low print numbers (as the last couple of editions on the HOME series and their current value suggest), then this is a winner with a print run of 500. If value is linked to signatures, then this is as good as it is now possible to get, with good old JRR now gone. If value is based on the actual product quality, then this is pretty much THe best in that field. Surely the only thing holding this back from massive profit in the future is the fact that it is not LOTR or the Hobbit?

Andrew

Posted on: 2010/8/15 9:21


Re: A nice blog on collecting Tolkien books
Shirrif
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Shirrif
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The Children of Hurin: Super Deluxe Edition - 2007

http://collectingtolkien.blogspot.com ... super-deluxe-edition.html

bruffyboy

As regards your views on future prices, I notice that you have just purchased copy 379 of 500, so you can calculate the current sales rate is on average 108 copies per year (based on nearly 3.5 years to get to 379).

If you take into account that a lot of collectors bought two copies in 2007 as an investment, I would guess HarperCollins currently sell less than half the average rate (108) per year, probably about forty copies.

At that rate HarperCollins would sell out of copies in 4 years time, or they may remainder them.

Anyway, it's my thought that this book will be worth at least £700 in five or ten years time, at which point I will make my own decision on whether to keep it or not!


I'd say more like twenty to thirty years for that price.

Posted on: 2010/8/14 22:55

Edited by Trotter on 2010/8/15 0:42:34


Re: Different ISBN on DJ and copyright page [Morgoth's Ring]
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Hi
too late i am afraid it got brought very very quickly for £125. a good price for number 11 of set.
Check out completed items and you will find it

Posted on: 2010/8/13 0:02


Re: Different ISBN on DJ and copyright page [Morgoth's Ring]
Just popping in
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hi, can u send the link to the ebay page please?

as i checked on ebay and could not find either morgoths ring, or HoME 11, war of the jewels for £125.


thanks

Posted on: 2010/8/12 15:49


Re: Silmarillion - signed
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http://www.tolkienguide.com/modules/n ... e=&topic_id=1006&forum=18

Bit new to me this posting links. This is it think.
Have posted you a PM as well - will try and post some pics tomorow

Posted on: 2010/8/11 12:24



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